Blogtrek

Update - Wesley Clark for President?

Earlier I had said that if retired general Wesley Clark was going to run, then he should run as an independent or as a Republican, challenging Bush. True, if he did these things, he could cause a Lichtman key to topple, perhaps leading to Bush's defeat. But then I found that Allan Lichtman himself said that Wesley Clark was possibly charismatic. I said earlier that who the Democrats pick does not make any difference, but there is one exception: if he is charismatic, he causes Key 13, challenger charisma, to fall. If he is indeed charismatic, then that topples Key 13. All that is needed to defeat Bush then would be a bad economy. Indeed, Clark seems the ideal candidate in some ways. He has military experience but is opposed to the war in Iraq. He has the same views as former President Clinton in many areas. So Clark appears to be a Clinton opposed to the war in Iraq and without the stained dress. Indeed, he could be charismatic. If he is nominated, then the Bush candidacy would depend even more on keeping the economy perking, for none of the dissatisfaction keys (third party, challenge to nomination, and social unrest) would need to fall to ensure Bush's defeat.